AEW Revolution 2022 takes place this Sunday, March 6th. This will be the first AEW pay-per-view of the year and if the card is any indicator, this is going to be one heck of the year in the ring for All Elite Wrestling.
The show is filled with matches that could be the main event. Adam Page will defend the AEW World Championship against Adam Cole, Jon Moxley faces Bryan Danielson, CM Punk and MJF do battle in a dog collar match, and Thunder Rosa gets her long-awaited rematch against Britt Baker for the AEW Women’s Championship.
AEW has been pretty good about always headlining their shows with the AEW World Championship, but I’m wondering if this will be a night when they go with women on top. It needs to happen at some point and I can’t think of a bigger match to do it with.
AEW Revolution 2022 Betting Odds:
Updated: March 4th, 2022
- Jon Moxley (-115) vs Bryan Danielson (-125)
- Dog Collar Match: CM Punk (-270) vs MJF (+180)
- Eddie Kingston (-400) vs Chris Jericho (+250)
- Hook (-1000) vs. QT Marshall (+500)
- Kris Statlander (-170) vs. Leyla Hirsch (+130)
- Sting, Sammy Guevera & Darby Allin (-400) vs Matt Hardy, Andrade & Isiah Kassidy (+250)
- Face of the Revolution Ladder Match:
Keith Lee (-175)
Ricky Starks (+400)
Orange Cassidy (+500)
Powerhouse Hobbs (+800)
Christina Cage (+1000)
Ethan Page (+1200)
- TNT Title – Jade Cargill (-1500) vs Tay Conti (+600)
- AEW World Tag Team Championship – Jurassic Express (-115) vs. reDragon (+175) vs. Young Bucks (+225)
- AEW Women’s Championship – Thunder Rosa (-300) vs Britt Baker D.M.D. (+225)
- AEW World Championship – Adam Page (-500) vs Adam Cole (+300)
(Note: Betting odds taken from BetOnline.)
One thing I will note is that babyfaces are favored in almost every match here with Jade being the only heel that is favored. I really don’t see things ending that way and some heels will win matches on this show. Picking the right ones will be key. MJF, Jericho, and Britt are my most likely upsets.
The most interesting match from a betting perspective is Jon Moxley and Bryan Danielson. The odds are even here so it’s basically a coinflip. You can make an argument for this match to go either way. Moxley has never beaten Bryan so him doing so here could be a big moment for him. While a loss would add some intrigue and make it more palatable for Mox to start a faction with Bryan. I would lead the latter, but neither would surprise me.
CM Punk is a -250 in his rematch against MJF. It makes sense considering MJF won the first match that he would lose the second, but I have just enough doubt that happens that I might bet MJF at +225. A win here would really set up MJF for an AEW World Championship challenge. That has to happen sooner or later and a win here would really send MJF to the next level. That said, I could also see this feud just continuing for another three months.
One of the bigger surprises in the odds is Eddie Kingston being a -278 favorite against Chris Jericho. The feud definitely seems set up for Eddie to get the win, but at the same time this is Chris Jericho we’re talking about. He’s in the best shape he’s been in years and is seemingly turning heel. A cheating/screwjob finish is not out of the question here and this is definitely a feud I can see continuing long past this show.
If you get a chance to bet against Jurassic Express retaining in this match you should probably take it. I really don’t see what they do next if they win. While the unknown team (Bucks) and ReDragon have a lot of things on their plate. I would lean ReDragon in that one and +175 is pretty good odds.
The ladder match will be the most interesting thing of the night from a booking standpoint. Wardlow is currently off the board because he’s such a big favorite. Keith Lee is the only other wrestler worth betting here, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we see some sort of surprise entrant in this match.